Kadyrov’s Declining Health Spurs Succession Speculation

Executive Summary: Rumors have circulated throughout January that the strongman leader of Chechnya, Ramzan Kadyrov, is suffering from kidney failure, sparking speculation about his successor and the durability of personalized regional governance in Russia amid leadership transition. Kadyrov has attempted to institutionalize a quasi-hereditary system by promoting family members into senior political and security roles….

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Rusif HUSEYNOV: “Direct Armenian–Azerbaijan Engagement Is a Genuine Breakthrough”

20.01.2026 (Caucasian Journal) Today, the Caucasian Journal welcomes Dr. Rusif HUSEYNOV, a distinguished Azerbaijani political analyst and the co-founder and CEO of the Baku-based think tank, the Topchubashov Center. He has first-hand knowledge of key developments not only in Baku but across all regional directions.  A widely cited expert, Dr. Huseynov offers an essential regional perspective on the evolving dialogue around…

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The Good, the Bad, and the Ugly: Serbian energy crisis amid US sanctions, Russia’s ouster, and Hungarian rescue

On 9 October 2025, US Department of the Treasury (OFAC) has imposed secondary sanctions which target Russian oil and gas sectors and extend their pressure on NIS (Naftna Industrija Srbije), the main Serbian energy company, because of the majority share owned by the Russian Gazprom Neft (44.85 per cent) and JSC Intelligence (11.3 per cent)….

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Georgia’s strategic ambiguity in a recalibrating South Caucasus

The South Caucasus is entering a phase of geopolitical recalibration that is both overdue and transformative. For more than three decades, the region was locked in a structural paralysis shaped primarily by the Armenia-Azerbaijan conflict. The Karabakh conflict created a logic of fragmentation that dictated political behavior: Armenia’s reliance on Russia hardened, Azerbaijan’s access to…

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Rusif Huseynov participates in Peace Bridge Initiative meeting with Azerbaijani NGOs

On 13 January 2025, Topchubashov Center Director Rusif Huseynov participated in the meeting of the Peace Bridge Initiative, a direct communication platform bringing together representatives of Azerbaijani and Armenian civil society. The meeting was attended by members of the initiative and representatives of Azerbaijani non-governmental organizations (NGOs), who discussed the activities of the Peace Bridge…

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Restraint without withdrawal: Iran’s evolving approach to forward defense

Iran’s humiliating military setbacks during the twelve-day war, compounded by deepening economic strain under the renewed maximum-pressure campaign, have forced an internal reckoning in Tehran over the country’s domestic social contract and its regional posture. The debate is no longer confined to how Iran should absorb external pressure, but whether the political and economic foundations…

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