Armenia’s Constitutional Court Dismantles One Barrier to Peace with Azerbaijan, While Erecting Others

Introduction In a move that has left many in Armenia, Azerbaijan, and beyond scratching their heads, the Armenian Constitutional Court adopted on September 26 a landmark ruling No. 1749, greenlighting the border delimitation process with Azerbaijan. The text of the ruling (henceforth referred to as Ruling 1749 or simply, the ruling) was published three days…

Read more

Caspian Security: Azerbaijan-Kazakhstan Partnership for Protecting Sea Lines of Communication (SLOC)

Since 2022, the geopolitical landscape of Central Asia has undergone significant transformation. The Russia-Ukraine war has shifted national interests, prompting countries to reassess their foreign policies and security strategies. For Azerbaijan and Kazakhstan, the Caspian Sea—a vital energy and trade route—has emerged as a crucial focal point of national security, leading both nations to rethink…

Read more

Armenia-Azerbaijan peace process and Section 907

Background of Section 907 On August 6, 1992, U.S. Congress passed the Freedom Support Act to accelerate transition to democratic governance and free market economy in Russia and other newly independent states following the collapse of the Soviet Union. Later on, humanitarian, security, and counter-terrorism dimensions were also incorporated into the document. A few months…

Read more

The Urgency of Now: How Armenia and Azerbaijan can’t afford to wait

Since 2020, the peace negotiations between Armenia and Azerbaijan have faced persistent challenges, with various mediation efforts—spanning Washington, Brussels, and Moscow, which have all collapsed by mid-2023. In fact, there is a deeper crisis in the peace process: despite attempts at bilateral talks and suggestions for Georgia to step in as a regional mediator, as…

Read more

Azerbaijan-Jordan: recent developments and future cooperation to curb the Shia Crescent

Shia Crescent goes “Full Moon” post-October 7 During the Global War on Terror in the early 2000s, King Abdullah II of Jordan coined the term “Shia Crescent” to describe the Iranian grand strategy of large-scale and wide-ranging ideological armed struggle to create a Shiite empire from Tehran to Damascus. There is no other way to…

Read more

Karabakh after war: Mapping post-conflict reconstruction

In the summer of 2022, Azerbaijan began resettling its first village in Karabakh*, a region in its southwest that had been under Armenian control for about 30 years and was partially recaptured during the 2020 war. Since a war in the 1990s, the predominantly Armenian-populated mountainous parts of Karabakh, as well as seven Azerbaijani-majority districts…

Read more

Hamas pivot towards Iraq signals involvement from Iran’s ally

As headlines rage over an inevitable war between the Israeli Defense Forces and Hezbollah, the Iran-backed militant group in Southern Lebanon, Hamas is using this time out of the spotlight to regroup, realign, and reposition. Eyes on the Israel-Hamas War are quickly shifting toward the north as Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu orders a reduction of…

Read more

“Russians never leave,” or how Azerbaijan proved the opposite

On April 17, 2024, an extraordinary development – something that does not happen every day – swept through the region and shocked the observers: the Kremlin confirmed the early withdrawal of Russian peacekeepers from Karabakh, a year ahead of schedule. Back in 2020, around 2,000 Russian peacekeepers arrived following Moscow’s mediation of a ceasefire that halted the fighting between…

Read more