Recasting multi-vectorism: a western-anchored strategy for Azerbaijan

The rapid erosion of the liberal international order has generated multiple dislocations in the South Caucasus, placing Azerbaijan at the crossroads of competing region-building projects. As the unipolar, neoliberal framework recedes, Azerbaijan’s long-standing multi-vector foreign policy faces mounting challenges under intensifying external pressures. During the unipolar era, international institutions anchored in liberal norms provided a…

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Azerbaijani exceptionalism: Baku’s strategic independence amid Russian policy against GUAM

The antagonistic relationship between the proverbial “East” and “West” is gradually re-entering the discourse of International Relations scholars amid what many see as the resurgence of great power competition. This dichotomy between two spheres of influence—from the colonial Occident versus Orient, to the modern Pax Americana versus the so-called “Axis of Upheaval”—shall survive forever in…

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Russia-Azerbaijan Relations in Freefall with No End in Sight

Tensions between Azerbaijan and Russia have been on an escalatory track since the crash of the Azerbaijani Airlines commercial airplane in December 2024. In the past, similar disputes were usually resolved quickly, leaving little lasting impact. This time, however, the crisis is far more complex and shows no signs of de-escalation. On the contrary, almost…

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Despite threats and challenges, the Washington Agreements may bring lasting Peace to the South Caucasus

There was a celebratory mood at the White House on August 8, as U.S. President Donald J. Trump hosted the President of the Republic of Azerbaijan, Ilham Aliyev, and the Prime Minister of Armenia, Nikol Pashinyan. The signing of the Washington Agreements was hailed by all three leaders as historic and presented as a potential end to…

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A historic pivot in Armenia and Azerbaijan: the promise of peace and the road ahead

On August 8, in an unexpected yet very symbolic venue, the White House, Armenia and Azerbaijan signed a joint memorandum to show their commitment to peace and define parameters of a possible solution to the connectivity dispute in southern Zangezur. The Trump administration has been “working” on the Armenia-Azerbaijan matters ever since early March, and…

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IDD Releases Summer 2025 Edition of Baku Dialogues

The Institute for Development and Diplomacy (IDD) at ADA University is pleased to announce the publication of the Summer 2025 edition of Baku Dialogues, its flagship English-language quarterly policy journal. This edition features analytical articles that reflect ongoing discussions on regional politics, multilateral diplomacy, and global challenges. The main interview of this issue is conducted with…

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From decline to ascent: Europe’s petrochemical crisis and the Caspian opportunity

“Who controls the Heartland commands the World-Island; who rules the World-Island commands the world.” — Halford Mackinder, 1904 In the early 2010s, the European petrochemical industry stood as a global benchmark — technologically sophisticated, environmentally conscious, and commercially competitive. From Antwerp to the Ruhr, European refineries and crackers powered the continent’s industrial base, serving the…

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From Pragmatism to Polarization? Azerbaijan-Russia tensions and the South Caucasus reset

The relationship between Azerbaijan and Russia is undergoing a fundamental shift, marked by rising tensions, strategic recalibrations, and broader geopolitical implications for the South Caucasus. What might have begun as isolated incidents—dismissed by some as bureaucratic turf wars or local criminality—has evolved into a wider geopolitical rupture. The Baku-Moscow axis, once grounded in transactional pragmatism,…

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Iran-Israel escalations reaffirm the need for Armenia to diversify foreign trade

The June 2025 Iran-Israel escalations, though brief, disrupted Armenia’s economic activity on the trade routes passing through Iran, one of its major trade partners. Probability of continuing risks to economic stability and trade have sparked widespread concern in Armenian media and expert circles, surfacing in parallel to the anticipated threats to Armenian security, significantly contingent…

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The book “Middle Corridor” was published in Romania

The book “The Middle Corridor: Navigating Current Realities and Embracing Future Prospects”, jointly developed by the Center for Analysis of Economic Reforms and Communication (CAERC), the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), and the CAREC Institute (Central Asia Regional Economic Cooperation), has been published in Romania. Authored by 22 scholars from 10 countries (Azerbaijan,…

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