The end of the JCPOA era? Multilateral diplomacy meets military escalation

Following the ceasefire that ended the twelve-day Iran-Israel war, tensions surrounding Iran’s nuclear program are approaching a pivotal juncture: the imminent expiration of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), signed in 2015. Many of the mechanisms embedded in the resolution, including the critical snapback mechanism, will cease to apply after 18 October 2025, unless…

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China emerges as a rising power in the melting Arctic

In January 2018, China released its first white paper on the Arctic, titled “China’s Arctic Policy”. Sections in this document mention that “China is an important stakeholder in Arctic affairs. Geographically, China is a “Near-Arctic State,” one of the continental states that are closest to the Arctic Circle.” This articulation of its status faced criticism, particularly…

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A ‘Break or Brake’ moment: post-Russia South Caucasus

There is a “break or brake” moment emerging for the South Caucasus as it enters a completely new geopolitical realm. The 2022 invasion of Ukraine has forced the three republics to recalibrate their distance from Moscow: Armenia and Azerbaijan have intensified a rather subtle decoupling, whereas Georgia is attempting to symbolically reorient itself toward a…

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Visit of Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov and the activitisation of pro-Russian forces in Armenia (late spring 2025)

I. Agenda of Russian-Armenian Relations On May 20, 2025, Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov arrived in Yerevan on a two-day working visit. On May 21, 2025, he held meetings with senior Armenian officials. In the morning, the Russian diplomat met with Foreign Minister Ararat Mirzoyan, and in the afternoon – with Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan…

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Murad Muradov visits London

On 19-20 June 2025, Topchubashov Center`s Deputy Director Murad Muradov visited the United Kingdom to participate in the traditional Alumni Forum of the London School of Economics and Political Science (LSE). He took part in the exchange of views with representatives of dozens of countries within the Forum and also held discussions with experts from…

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Topchubashov Center director meets with Danube Institute leadership in Budapest

On 18 June 2025, Topchubashov Center`s Director Rusif Huseynov visited the Budapest-based Danube Institute, where he held a meeting with Executive Director István Kiss to discuss the next steps in bilateral cooperation. The meeting focused on the implementation of the Memorandum of Understanding signed between the two institutions in Baku in April 2025. Both sides…

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Rusif Huseynov speaks at Budapest Global Dialogue 2025

On 17 June 2025, Topchubashov Center`s Director Rusif Huseynov joined a panel at Budapest Global Dialogue 2025. In the panel titled “Global Crossroads: the CEE, the Balkans and the Caucasus in the New World Order,” he spoke about nations of the afore-mentioned regions as bridge states—linking diverse civilisations, geopolitical blocs, connectivity models, and economic systems;…

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