Fragmentation as Strategy: Why the New Global Order May Leave the UN Behind

Introduction As the G7 recalibrates its global priorities around economic resilience and geopolitical control, a new architecture of fragmentation is emerging, which is one that sidelines multilateral institutions. This piece examines how recent shifts in trade, security, and climate diplomacy reflect not a failure of global coordination, but a deliberate strategy of selective engagement. Drawing…

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China emerges as a rising power in the melting Arctic

In January 2018, China released its first white paper on the Arctic, titled “China’s Arctic Policy”. Sections in this document mention that “China is an important stakeholder in Arctic affairs. Geographically, China is a “Near-Arctic State,” one of the continental states that are closest to the Arctic Circle.” This articulation of its status faced criticism, particularly…

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Azerbaijan is a leader in the UN report on digital trade

The results of the UN’s 2025 “Global Survey on Digital and Sustainable Trade Facilitation” have been announced. The survey, based on foreign trade reforms carried out in the Asia-Pacific region between 2023 and 2025, shows that Azerbaijan has achieved a high result, with a score of 92.5%, ranking among the top ten in the region…

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A ‘Break or Brake’ moment: post-Russia South Caucasus

There is a “break or brake” moment emerging for the South Caucasus as it enters a completely new geopolitical realm. The 2022 invasion of Ukraine has forced the three republics to recalibrate their distance from Moscow: Armenia and Azerbaijan have intensified a rather subtle decoupling, whereas Georgia is attempting to symbolically reorient itself toward a…

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Russia-Azerbaijan Tensions Escalate to Unprecedented Level

Executive Summary: A Russian raid in Ekaterinburg targeting ethnic Azerbaijanis on June 27 resulted in deaths, injuries, and allegations of torture. This ignited a severe diplomatic crisis, with Baku accusing Moscow of ethnic violence and launching a criminal investigation. Russia-Azerbaijan relations have been deteriorating since the crash of Azerbaijan Airlines Flight 8243 in December 2024,…

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ECO and Georgia are caught between a neutral stance and strategic interests

The 17th Summit of the Economic Cooperation Organization (ECO) took place in Khankendi on 4 July. The President of the Republic of Azerbaijan, Ilham Aliyev, met the heads of state and government and the heads of the delegations participating in the summit. President Aliyev welcomed the summit participants to Karabakh, noting the special symbolism of…

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Vusal Gasimli presents at the University of Oxford on AI in Public Program Management

Dr. Vusal Gasimli, Executive Director of the Center for Analysis of Economic Reforms and Communication (CAERC) and Professor of Economics, Delivered a Keynote Presentation at the “Human‑Algorithm Interaction Workshop” Held at the University of Oxford Professor Vusal Gasimli, Executive Director of the Center for Analysis of Economic Reforms and Communication (CAERC), participated as a speaker…

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Visit of Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov and the activitisation of pro-Russian forces in Armenia (late spring 2025)

I. Agenda of Russian-Armenian Relations On May 20, 2025, Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov arrived in Yerevan on a two-day working visit. On May 21, 2025, he held meetings with senior Armenian officials. In the morning, the Russian diplomat met with Foreign Minister Ararat Mirzoyan, and in the afternoon – with Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan…

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The 19th Baku Summer Energy School (BSES) successfully concluded

The 19th Baku Summer Energy School (BSES), organized by the Institute for Development and Diplomacy (IDD) of ADA University in partnership with ADA University Foundation, the State Oil Company of the Republic of Azerbaijan (SOCAR), bp, and KOLIN successfully concluded after two weeks of intensive academic engagement, field visits, and high-level dialogue on global energy…

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