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Restraint without withdrawal: Iran’s evolving approach to forward defense

Iran’s humiliating military setbacks during the twelve-day war, compounded by deepening economic strain under the renewed maximum-pressure campaign, have forced an internal reckoning in Tehran over the country’s domestic social contract and its regional posture. The debate is no longer confined to how Iran should absorb external pressure, but whether the political and economic foundations…

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Topchubashov Center co-hosts international conference in Hungary

On 12 December 2025, Topchubashov Center, in partnership with the John Lukacs Institute for Strategy and Politics (JLI) at Ludovika University of Public Service (NKE), co-hosted an international conference entitled “Conflict and Coexistence in the Near East: Contemporary Dynamics.” The event was held at the John Lukacs Lounge of the Ludovika Side Building in Budapest….

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Azerbaijan’s global ascent: President Ilham Aliyev’s leadership and 2025 strategy

As the first quarter of the 21st century draws to a close, Azerbaijan, under the leadership of President Ilham Aliyev, is completing its transformation from a regional power hub into a global actor. For the country, 2025 marks a critical juncture, defined not only by domestic development goals but also by the consolidation of its…

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Azerbaijani Foreign Policy in 2025: Key Highlights

The year 2025 marked a period of adjustment and consolidation in Azerbaijan’s foreign policy. From its immediate vicinity to neighboring regions, Baku approached its external environment not as a challenge to be reacted to, but as an emerging architecture to be proactively shaped in line with its vital interests. The formalisation of peace with Armenia…

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Armenia-Azerbaijan Track 2: the ice is melting

Before the 2020 Karabakh War, the Armenia–Azerbaijan Track 2 diplomacy existed more as an aspiration than a lived reality. Dialogues were episodic, heavily mediated by third parties, geographically distant from the region, and largely disconnected from actual decision-making. Mutual visits were rare to the point of being unthinkable – exceptional and often sensationalized – and…

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Mahammad Mehdiyev speaks at the ASIAC Conference

On 17 December 2025, Topchubashov Center’s Research Fellow Mahammad Mehdiyev delivered a presentation at the ASIAC Conference held in Venice. He presented his research titled “Cartographic Controversies: Google Maps and the Geopolitics of Place Names in Conflict Zones,” in which he examined how digital mapping platforms represent disputed borders and place names, and how these…

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From mass migration to brain drain: political impacts and future outlook

Brain drain represents the erosion of a country’s scientific and intellectual foundations and, ultimately, the loss of its future social potential. Yet the core issue lies not in migration as a whole, but in the brain drain embedded within today’s global migration flows. The loss generated by mass population movements does not exert the same…

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People–state unity: insights from Azerbaijan

People–state unity is one of the core foundations of state resilience. Azerbaijan translated this principle into concrete action during the Karabakh war, gaining a clear strategic advantage. Strong internal consensus enabled the country to mount a firm and coordinated response to external threats. This synergy enhances the effectiveness of economic policymaking. Through social programs that…

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The Black Sea fault line: how sanctions and fragmentation are rewriting the region’s energy order?

As Western sanctions on Russia intensify, targeting not only the country’s financial apparatus but also major companies and energy champions such as LukOil, Rosneft, and Gazprom Neft, the Black Sea has become the most dynamic fault line in Europe’s reconfigured energy landscape. The accelerated withdrawal of these Russian companies from the region is not simply…

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Rusif Huseynov speaks at HIIA panel session

On 10 December 2025, Topchubashov Center Director Rusif Huseynov joined a panel session entitled “The Armenian-Azerbaijan peace process – From frozen conflict to hot peace.” Hosted at the Hungarian Institute of International Affairs, the panel also featured Armenian, Georgian, and Hungarian experts. In his remarks, Rusif Huseynov assessed the peace process and connectivity between Armenia…

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